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Alaska Mega-Tsunami (481m Runup) – Tracy Arm Fjord Landslide – 10 Aug 2025

🇺🇸 Tracy Arm fjord, near South Sawyer Glacier, approximately 80 miles south-southeast of Juneau, Alaska, USA, USFirst detected: 10 May 2026, 23:10Updated: 2d ago1 report
Natural Catastrophe
PropertyMarine HullMarine CargoCasualty & LiabilityReinsurance
No analyst brief has been published for this event.
No ground report has been published for this event.

Impact Assessment Rationale

Although no casualties or confirmed insured losses occurred in this instance, the event represents a severe near-miss for the cruise industry in a heavily trafficked tourist area. The scientific study raises systemic risk concerns for marine hull and casualty underwriters covering cruise and tour vessels operating in Alaska glacier fjords, with implications for future policy terms and exclusions.

View assessment methodology →

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Geographic Zone Matches

2 active matches

  • TRIA Certified Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Pacific Ring of Fire
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Summary

On 10 August 2025, a landslide of over 64 million cubic metres of rock collapsed into Tracy Arm fjord near South Sawyer Glacier, Alaska, approximately 80 miles south-southeast of Juneau. The collapse generated a megatsunami with a runup of 481 metres — one of the tallest ever recorded — and an initial breaking wave of 100 metres travelling at over 70 metres per second. No fatalities or injuries occurred, attributed to the 5:26 a.m. local timing when no cruise ships or large visitor groups were present. A study published in Science in May 2026 links the event to glacial retreat driven by climate change and warns of heightened future risk to cruise vessels in glacier fjords.

This summary is AI-generated from linked source reports and may change as more information becomes available. See our correction policy for how to report errors.

Structured Intelligence

known

  • Landslide occurred on 10 August 2025 at approximately 05:26 local time in Tracy Arm fjord, Alaska
  • Over 64 million cubic metres of rock collapsed near South Sawyer Glacier
  • Megatsunami runup of 481 metres (1,578 feet) recorded on the opposite fjord wall
  • Initial breaking wave reached 100 metres travelling at more than 70 metres per second
  • No fatalities or injuries reported
  • Seismic event equivalent to magnitude 5.4 earthquake
  • NOAA tide gauge in Juneau recorded tsunami waves up to 36 centimetres above tide level
  • Kayakers camped at Harbor Island had gear swept away by waves
  • Long-period seiche persisted for up to 36 hours inside the fjord
  • Study published in the journal Science on 7 May 2026 (gCaptain article published 8 May 2026)

reported

  • Landslide was preceded by several days of increasing microseismic activity
  • Study links the failure to glacial retreat driven by climate change removing slope support
  • Scientists warn future collapses in glacier fjords could potentially be detected before failure

uncertain

  • Whether any insured vessels or cargo were damaged
  • Whether formal maritime safety advisories or route restrictions for Tracy Arm have been issued following the study
  • Precise extent of vegetation stripping and any infrastructure damage in the fjord

Affected Countries

🇺🇸 United States

Key Entities

Tracy ArmSouth Sawyer GlacierJuneauAlaskaDan ShugarUniversity of CalgaryU.S. Geological Survey (USGS)NOAAScience (journal)Harbor Island
Event started: 10 Aug 2025Event ended: 10 Aug 2025

Sources

Trade Media

Timeline

Status Change29 May 2026, 05:30

Lifecycle changed

active → monitoring

Status Change29 May 2026, 05:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

Status Change28 May 2026, 22:36

Lifecycle changed

signal → active

Status Change28 May 2026, 22:36

Status changed to active

remediation: existing authoritative signal

Initial Detection10 May 2026, 23:10

Initial Detection

On 10 August 2025, a landslide of over 64 million cubic metres of rock collapsed into Tracy Arm fjord near South Sawyer Glacier, Alaska, approximately 80 miles south-southeast of Juneau. The collapse generated a megatsunami with a runup of 481 metres — one of the tallest ever recorded — and an initial breaking wave of 100 metres travelling at over 70 metres per second. No fatalities or injuries occurred, attributed to the 5:26 a.m. local timing when no cruise ships or large visitor groups were present. A study published in Science in May 2026 links the event to glacial retreat driven by climate change and warns of heightened future risk to cruise vessels in glacier fjords.

The Aug. 10, 2025 event…began when more than 64 million cubic meters of rock collapsed into the fjord near South Sawyer Glacier…The landslide generated an initial 100-meter breaking wave…followed by a megatsunami that stripped vegetation from the steep fjord walls. No one was killed or injured.

Source: gCaptain (Maritime) (Trade Media) · View source