MonitoringLow impactAI Refreshed

M6.1 Earthquake Strikes Western Cuba Near Mantua

Occurred 8 Jun 2026·Detected 8 Jun 2026·
🇨🇺 104 km WNW of Mantua, Pinar del Río Province, western Cuba259 reports
Natural CatastropheMarineEnergy & InfrastructurePropertyMarine HullMarine CargoEnergyCasualty & LiabilityReinsurance

A magnitude 6.1 earthquake was recorded 104 km WNW of Mantua in Pinar del Río Province, western Cuba, on 8 June 2026. USGS issued a GREEN PAGER alert with a maximum MMI of 4.6 and no tsunami. The event was widely felt in Cuba and in southern Florida, including reports of precautionary evacuations in Miami. No significant damage, casualties, or insured losses have been reported; western Cuba is not a major concentration of London market insured risk.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

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Impact verdict

Low impact. Loss pathway: USGS PAGER GREEN alert with maximum MMI 4.6, no tsunami, and zero population exposure for liquefaction/landslide indicate minor impact. MMI 4.6 corresponds to light shaking with negligible structural damage. Felt reports of shaking reached southern Florida, but Florida exposures were at very long distance and produced only precautionary evacuations. Western Cuba is not a major concentration of London market insured risk, and no named commercial, industrial, energy, or marine assets are identified as damaged. No ground-truth reports of significant damage or casualties have been confirmed. Limit: extent of any localised damage in Pinar del Río remains unconfirmed.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

AI refreshed 12 Jun 2026, 19:17

Known14 lines

Magnitude 6.1 (mww) earthquake at 10 km depth
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Epicenter 104 km WNW of Mantua, Cuba (22.8009°N, 85.1393°W)
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
USGS PAGER alert level: GREEN
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Maximum Modified Mercalli Intensity: 4.6
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Felt by 2,505 people (CDI 3.9)
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
No tsunami generated
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Liquefaction and landslide alerts both GREEN with zero population exposure
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Significance score: 962
structured lineknown
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
USGS maximum estimated MMI is 4.86, corresponding to light shaking with negligible structural damage.
usgs_max_mmiloss estimate indicatorvalid from 12 Jun 2026, 18:10Property
Market relevance: primary loss indicator
max MMI 4.86” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: max_mmi
No tsunami was generated by the event (USGS tsunami_region_flag = false).
no_tsunamiperil classificationvalid from 12 Jun 2026, 18:10Marine
Market relevance: secondary peril check
tsunami_region_flag false” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: tsunami_region_flag
USGS recorded the event as a magnitude 6.1 (mww) earthquake.
usgs_magnitude_6_1peril classificationvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 00:00Property
Market relevance: primary peril characterisation
magnitude 6.1 (mww)” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: magnitude
USGS authoritative depth for the event is 26 km, with moment-tensor derived depth also 26 km.
usgs_depth_26kmperil classificationvalid from 12 Jun 2026, 18:10Property
Market relevance: secondary peril parameter
depth 26 km” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: depth_km, mt_derived_depth_km
USGS PAGER alert level is GREEN, indicating limited damage potential.
usgs_pager_greenloss estimate indicatorvalid from 12 Jun 2026, 18:10Property
Market relevance: primary loss indicator
PAGER alert level: GREEN” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: pager_alert
The event has been reviewed by the USGS seismic network.
usgs_review_statusstatusvalid from 12 Jun 2026, 18:10
event reviewed” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: review_status

Reported4 lines

Event reviewed by USGS seismic network
structured linereported
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
USGS reports 5,755 felt reports with maximum community-reported intensity (CDI) of 5.6.
usgs_felt_reportsperil classificationvalid from 12 Jun 2026, 18:10Property
Market relevance: secondary indicator
felt by 5,755 people” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Authoritative facts: cdi_max, felt_reports
Shaking from the earthquake was felt in southern Florida, including in Miami and reportedly as far as Jacksonville, with precautionary evacuations reported in Miami.
felt_in_floridaexposure relevancevalid from 9 Jun 2026, 00:00Property
Market relevance: secondary impact scope
6.1 magnitude earthquake near Cuba shakes buildings in Havana and Florida” — smdailyjournal.com · 9 Jun 2026, 05:30 · mainstream media
6.1 magnitude earthquake off Cuba coast prompts evacuations across Miami, felt to Jacksonville” — wptv.com · 9 Jun 2026, 05:30 · mainstream media
6.1 magnitude earthquake off Cuba causes shaking, minor damage in north Florida” — wcjb.com · 9 Jun 2026, 05:30 · mainstream media
Magnitude 6.1 earthquake near Cuba's western side felt throughout southern Florida” — spokesman.com · 9 Jun 2026, 04:15 · mainstream media
No significant damage, casualties, or major commercial/industrial disruption have been reported; mainstream coverage characterises impacts as minor or limited.
no_significant_damage_reportedloss estimate indicatorvalid from 11 Jun 2026, 07:29Property
Market relevance: primary loss signal
No reports of significant damage or casualties have been confirmed.” — smdailyjournal.com · 9 Jun 2026, 05:30 · mainstream media
below the threshold for major insured loss and no significant commercial or infrastructure damage is reported” — wcjb.com · 9 Jun 2026, 05:30 · mainstream media
No major damage or casualties are reported” — spokesman.com · 9 Jun 2026, 04:15 · mainstream media

Uncertain4 lines

Actual insured damage extent in western Cuba
structured lineuncertain
No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Whether any commercial or industrial facilities in the region sustained damage
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Specific ground truth reports of damage
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No separate sourced-claim record is available for this line yet.
Insured loss expectation is low. USGS PAGER GREEN, MMI <5, no tsunami, and minimal London market exposure in western Cuba argue against a material insured event, though localised losses cannot be ruled out pending ground-truth reports.
insured_loss_expectation_lowloss estimate indicatorProperty
Market relevance: primary insured loss assessment
PAGER GREEN, max MMI 4.6” — USGS · 12 Jun 2026, 19:17
below the threshold for major insured loss” — wcjb.com · 9 Jun 2026, 05:30 · mainstream media
Authoritative facts: max_mmi, pager_alert

Geographic Zone Matches

2 active matches

  • OFAC Sanctioned Countries
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Caribbean Hurricane Zone
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇨🇺 Cuba🇲🇽 Mexico🇺🇸 United States

Latest developments

  • USGS confirmed the earthquake at magnitude 6.1. USGS
  • Earthquake depth is 26 km per USGS. USGS
  • USGS PAGER alert is GREEN. USGS
  • Maximum shaking intensity is MMI ~4.9 (light). USGS
  • Felt by several thousand people; revised felt count is 5,755. USGS
  • No tsunami was generated. USGS
  • USGS has reviewed the event. USGS
  • Tremors were felt across southern Florida with precautionary evacuations in Miami. smdailyjournal.com

Timeline

Intelligence Refresh12 Jun 2026, 19:17
Merge11 Jun 2026, 22:29

Merged with: Gulf of Mexico Earthquake Felt in Florida, Centered West of Cuba

Event "Gulf of Mexico Earthquake Felt in Florida, Centered West of Cuba" (slug: gulf-of-mexico-earthquake-felt-in-florida-centered-west-of-cuba-1-19bpy0qp) merged into this event.

Status Change10 Jun 2026, 03:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

active -> monitoring

Corroboration9 Jun 2026, 21:16

An earthquake struck off the coast of Cuba with shaking felt across Florida, including Duval County. The article reports felt shaking from a seismic event near Cuba, with no specific magnitude or damage details provided in the available text. Insurance market significance is unclear pending magnitude and damage assessment.

Source: news4jax.com (Mainstream Media) · View source

Status Change9 Jun 2026, 21:01

Status changed to active

hygiene_sweep: re-evaluated after confidence recalibration

developing -> active

Status Change9 Jun 2026, 21:01

Status changed to developing

evidence_trigger: corroboration >= 2

signal -> developing

Corroboration9 Jun 2026, 19:33

A 6.1 magnitude earthquake struck near Cuba, with shaking felt in Havana and reported as far as Florida. The event occurred in the Caribbean Hurricane Zone, a region with significant insured property exposure, though the offshore nature of the epicenter and current lack of damage reports suggest limited commercial loss potential at this stage.

Source: columbian.com (Mainstream Media) · View source

Status Change9 Jun 2026, 19:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

active → monitoring

Initial Detection8 Jun 2026, 20:49

Initial Detection

An earthquake centered in the Gulf of Mexico west of Cuba was felt by residents in Florida. The article title and metadata indicate a seismic event with associated tsunami concerns, though no damage estimates, loss figures, or specific magnitude are provided in the source text.

Florida Residents Feel Gulf Earthquake Centered West Of Cuba

Source: iheart.com (Mainstream Media) · View source

Lloyd's classifications

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