RiskEvents
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Tropical Storm Cristina

Occurred 8 Jun 2026·Detected 8 Jun 2026·
🇳🇮 Eastern Pacific Ocean, off the Pacific coast of Nicaragua, approximately 90 miles WSW of Managua11 reportsEnded 10 Jun 2026
Natural CatastrophePropertyMarine CargoEnergyReinsurance

Tropical Depression Three-E formed in the Eastern Pacific off Nicaragua, strengthened and was named Tropical Storm Cristina. The system is producing tropical-storm-force winds and is forecast to bring 4-8 inches of rainfall (up to 12 inches locally) to coastal Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala, with associated risks of flooding, storm surge, and landslides. The affected Central American Pacific coast region has limited insured commercial exposure and no major insured loss estimates have been published. The event remains in monitoring status.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

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Impact verdict

Low impact. LOW: Although the system has strengthened to a tropical storm (Cristina), it remains a low-end tropical cyclone well below hurricane intensity. GDACS estimates approximately 12.7 million people in tropical-storm-force wind zones but zero in Category 1+ wind zones, indicating limited destructive wind threat. The affected region (Nicaragua, El Salvador, Honduras Pacific coast, Guatemala) has limited insured commercial exposure relative to major catastrophe-prone regions. No named insured assets, energy infrastructure, or major port facilities are threatened at this intensity. Primary concern remains rainfall-induced flooding and mudslides rather than wind-driven property damage. No plausible multi-syndicate insured loss pathway identified.

View assessment methodology

How we grade what we know -- Known · Reported · Uncertain. Methodology →

Intelligence ledger

Each line expands in place to its underlying sourced claim.

AI refreshed 9 Jun 2026, 21:23

Known11 lines

Tropical Depression Three-E located at 11.5N 87.5W, approximately 90 miles WSW of Managua, Nicaragua▾
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Maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h)▾
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Minimum central pressure of 1006 mb▾
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Moving north at 7 mph, expected to turn northwest and parallel the coast▾
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Tropical Storm Warnings in effect for Puerto Sandino to Honduras/Nicaragua border and entire coast of El Salvador▾
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Tropical Storm Warning recommended for Pacific coast of Honduras▾
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System located at 11.5N 87.5W, approximately 90 miles WSW of Managua, Nicaragua, moving north at 7 mph and expected to turn northwest paralleling the coast.▾
system_position_and_motionfactvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 15:33
NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
No confirmed major insured loss estimates for the system. As a weak tropical storm affecting a region with limited insured commercial exposure, insured loss potential is limited.▾
insured_loss_potentiallimited loss potentialvalid from 9 Jun 2026, 13:49property
Market relevance: Low; weak intensity and limited insured commercial exposure in affected region
“Tropical storm-strength system currently without confirmed major insured loss estimates.” — punchng.com · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
Event lifecycle status is monitoring as of 2026-06-08T22:30:25Z, auto-transitioned after six hours without updates.▾
lifecycle_status_monitoringstatusvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 22:30
“Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours” — Source · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
Tropical Depression Three-E formed in the Eastern Pacific off the coast of Nicaragua and has since been named Tropical Storm Cristina.▾
system_formation_and_classificationstatus updatevalid from 8 Jun 2026, 15:33property
Market relevance: Low; naming reflects intensification to tropical storm status but remains below insured loss threshold
“Tropical Storm Cristina approaches Central America, triggers alerts as heavy rains, flooding, and storm surge threaten the region.” — punchng.com · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
“Tropical Depression Three-E is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches” — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
Tropical Storm Warnings in effect for Puerto Sandino to the Honduras/Nicaragua border and for the entire coast of El Salvador. Tropical Storm Warning recommended for Pacific coast of Honduras.▾
tropical_storm_warningsstatusvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 15:33
NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23

Reported5 lines

Expected to become a tropical storm by Tuesday▾
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Rainfall totals of 4-8 inches with maximum 12 inches possible across coastal Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala through Thursday▾
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Maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 km/h) at initial classification as tropical depression; system has since been named as a tropical storm. A separate source cites 93 km/h winds but attributes the system to the Atlantic basin, which is inconsistent with NHC positioning.▾
system_wind_intensityfactvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 15:33
“A tropical depression with maximum sustained winds of 93 km/h is active in the Atlantic” — GDACS Alerts · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
An estimated 12.7 million people are in tropical-storm-force wind zones, with zero people forecast to experience Category 1 or higher winds.▾
population_in_tropical_storm_wind_zonefactvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 15:34
“Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0 (12.734 million in tropical storm).” — GDACS Alerts · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
Rainfall totals of 4-8 inches with maximum of 12 inches possible across coastal Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala through Thursday.▾
rainfall_forecastfactvalid from 8 Jun 2026, 15:33
“rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches, with maximum totals of 12 inches possible across coastal portions Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala through Thursday morning.” — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23

Uncertain5 lines

Ultimate peak intensity and whether it will reach hurricane strength▾
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Exact track beyond Tuesday and potential for landfall vs. parallel coast track▾
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Whether the system will significantly impact insured commercial property or port/energy infrastructure▾
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Exact track beyond Tuesday and potential for landfall versus parallel coast track remains uncertain.▾
track_and_landfall_uncertaintycontext
NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23
Ultimate peak intensity and whether the system will reach hurricane strength remains uncertain.▾
peak_intensity_uncertaintycontext
NHC Active Tropical Cyclones · 9 Jun 2026, 21:23

Geographic Zone Matches

1 active match

  • EU Sanctions List
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇨🇷 Costa Rica🇬🇹 Guatemala🇭🇳 Honduras🇲🇽 Mexico🇳🇮 Nicaragua🇵🇦 Panama🇸🇻 El Salvador

Latest developments

  • Whether the system makes landfall or parallels the coast remains uncertain. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • System intensified from Tropical Depression Three-E to Tropical Storm Cristina. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • Peak intensity beyond tropical storm strength remains uncertain. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • System positioned 90 miles WSW of Managua, moving north and expected to parallel the coast. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • Wind intensity remains consistent with a weak tropical storm, well below hurricane strength. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • Tropical Storm Warnings cover coastal Nicaragua and El Salvador; Honduras warning recommended. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • Forecast rainfall of 4-8 inches (up to 12 inches locally) across Central America's Pacific coast through Thursday. — NHC Active Tropical Cyclones
  • Zero population forecast in Category 1+ wind zones; 12.7 million in tropical-storm-force zones. — GDACS Alerts

Timeline

Closure12 Jun 2026, 20:31

Event Closed

auto_closed_monitoring_timeout

Status Change12 Jun 2026, 20:31

Lifecycle changed

monitoring -> closed

Renamed10 Jun 2026, 20:18

Event renamed

Display title changed to: Tropical Storm Cristina

Merge10 Jun 2026, 20:16

Merged with: Tropical Storm Cristina approaches Central America, prompting alerts

Event "Tropical Storm Cristina approaches Central America, prompting alerts" (slug: tropical-storm-cristina-approaches-central-america-prompting-alerts-1-vn71c2p2) merged into this event.

Merge10 Jun 2026, 20:16

Merged with: Tropical Storm Cristina Forms in Eastern Pacific

Event "Tropical Storm Cristina Forms in Eastern Pacific" (slug: tropical-storm-cristina-forms-in-eastern-pacific-1-te2zpv05) merged into this event.

Corroboration10 Jun 2026, 08:43

Tropical Storm Cristina is approaching Central America, prompting alerts across Nicaragua, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Panama. The storm brings threats of heavy rainfall, flooding, storm surges, and mudslides to the region. This developing tropical cyclone poses potential insured loss exposure to property and infrastructure in Central America, though current intensity and landfall details remain uncertain.

Source: bssnews.net (Mainstream Media) · View source

Status Change10 Jun 2026, 05:30

Status changed to monitoring

Auto-transitioned: no updates for 6 hours

active -> monitoring

Corroboration10 Jun 2026, 02:29

Tropical Storm Cristina has stalled off Nicaragua's Caribbean coast, bringing heavy rains, flooding, and strong winds. The storm poses potential risks to coastal infrastructure and communities in a sparsely populated region with limited insured exposure. The system's stalling increases rainfall accumulation and flood risk in affected areas.

Source: havanatimes.org (Mainstream Media) · View source

Intelligence Refresh10 Jun 2026, 01:07
Corroboration9 Jun 2026, 23:29

Tropical Storm Cristina is approaching Central America, prompting alerts across Nicaragua, Honduras, Guatemala, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Panama, and southern Mexico. The storm brings threats of heavy rainfall, flooding, mudslides, storm surge, and sustained winds. The region includes Caribbean hurricane zone exposures relevant to London market property and reinsurance books.

Source: jamaicaobserver.com (Mainstream Media) · View source

Intelligence Refresh9 Jun 2026, 21:23
Status Change9 Jun 2026, 20:03

Status changed to active

evidence_trigger: developing_promotion

developing → active

Lloyd's classifications

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