ClosedLow impactAI Refreshed

US Missile Strike Kills 155 at Minab School – Hormozgan Province, Iran – February 2026

Occurred 28 Feb 2026·Detected 12 May 2026·
🇮🇷 Minab, Hormozgan Province, southern Iran6 reportsCAT 26AAEnded 18 Jun 2026
Political Violence & WarTerrorismPropertyMarine HullAviationEnergyTerrorism & Political ViolencePolitical RiskCasualty & LiabilityWar Risk

On 28 February 2026 a US missile strike hit a school in Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran, reportedly killing at least 155-156 people including approximately 120 children, described in reporting as the deadliest single attack in the US-Iran war to date. A preliminary US military investigation reportedly found the strike was made in error, with the intended target identified as an adjacent IRGC military base. Tehran has publicly invoked UN Charter Article 51 self-defence provisions to justify retaliatory action, signalling potential escalation in the Persian Gulf region. No insured asset damage, port or airspace closure, energy facility outage, claims activity, or London Market pricing or capacity response is documented in available reporting.

AI-generated from linked source reports. See our correction policy.

Impact verdict

Low impact. LOW. The event is locally catastrophic and carries major geopolitical and humanitarian weight, including Iranian signalling of retaliatory action and escalation risk in the Persian Gulf region. However, available evidence does not document a concrete London Market transmission pathway: no insured asset damage, vessel or cargo loss, port or airspace closure, energy or port-facility outage, claims or loss estimate, reinsurance impact, sanctions-related asset action, or pricing or capacity response is reported. Civilian casualty scale is material on humanitarian grounds but does not, on its own, generate an insured-severity banding under the PQER Q6 rubric.

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Geographic Zone Matches

8 active matches

  • OFAC Sanctioned Countries
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • TRIA Certified Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • JWC Listed Areas
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • EU Sanctions List
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Iran (12nm coastal buffer)
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Pacific Ring of Fire
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Persian/Arabian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, Indian Ocean, Gulf of Aden and Southern Red Sea
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%
  • Caribbean Hurricane Zone
    Rule-basedConfidence 100%

Geographic zone matches are RiskEvents spatial/analytical indicators, not coverage determinations or Lloyd's official classifications.

Affected countries

🇮🇱 Israel🇮🇷 Iran🇺🇸 United States

Lloyd's classifications

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